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Heading for a fall

Will there be enough jobs to go around for all the trained teachers in the future? <B>Dr Alan Marr</B> does his sums

Since Labour came into power, talk has been of expanding and using the school workforce more creatively and flexibly. More teachers would be employed, while a growing army of support staff would take on new roles, sign up to new courses and take advantage of new routes into teaching.

Yet despite the Government's rosy picture of school employment, staff in coming years may find themselves pondering not their career paths but whether they will have a job at all.

The most immediate threat to jobs in schools is budget allocations. Last year's budgets put a brake on the already stuttering Government plans to restructure the school workforce, with most schools seeing cuts, or no real rises in funding. Many resorted to using reserves of cash just to retain existing staff in current posts; some resorted to staff redundancies.

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